Hurricane Earl

Public Advisory 8



412
WTNT35 KNHC 040853
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
400 AM CDT THU AUG 04 2016

...EARL WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 88.9W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM WSW OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Costa Maya, Mexico, southward to the Belize/Guatemala
border.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Puerto Costa Maya to Punta Allen, Mexico.

Interests along the southern coast of the Bay of Campeche should
monitor the progress of Earl.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Earl was located
near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 88.9 West. A turn toward the
west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected later
today. On the forecast track, the center of Earl is expected to
move across central and northern Belize this morning, move across
northern Guatemala and the southern Yucatan Peninsula later today,
and be near or over the southern Bay of Campeche Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts, and additional weakening is expected as the
center moves farther inland. Earl is forecast to weaken to a
tropical storm later this morning and to a tropical depression by
Friday morning.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are spreading through central and
northern Belize near the center of Earl. Tropical storm conditions
are spreading across the coasts of Belize and Mexico elsewhere in
the warned area, and should spread into the southern Yucatan
Peninsula and northern Guatemala this morning.

RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and the
Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana, Tabasco and Veracruz
through Friday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are
possible in Belize, northern Guatemala and the central part of the
Mexican state of Chiapas. These rains could result in
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge along the immediate coast of Belize and
the eastern Yucatan Peninsula should subside today as the center of
Earl moves farther inland. Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and damaging waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven