Hurricane Earl

Public Advisory 8A



746
WTNT35 KNHC 041145
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016
700 AM CDT THU AUG 04 2016

...EARL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 89.5W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings. The
Government of Belize has replaced the Hurricane Warning with
a Tropical Storm Warning.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* the coast of Belize.

Interests along the southern coast of the Bay of Campeche should
monitor the progress of Earl.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was
located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 89.5 West. Earl is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected later
today. On the forecast track, Earl is expected to move across
northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico today, and be near or
over the southern Bay of Campeche Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (105 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as the center
moves farther inland, and Earl is forecast to weaken to a tropical
depression by tonight or Friday morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.23 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are still affecting the coast of
Belize, but should gradually subside. These conditions should spread
over northern Guatemala this morning.

RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and the
Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo, Tabasco and
Veracruz through Friday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches are possible in Belize, northern Guatemala and the central
part of the Mexican state of Chiapas. These rains could result in
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge along the immediate coast of Belize and
the eastern Yucatan Peninsula should continue to subside today as
the center of Earl moves farther inland.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila