Tropical Storm Eight
Public Advisory 15
576
WTNT33 KNHC 010241
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT A DAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.7N 70.1W
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight
was located near latitude 36.7 North, longitude 70.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30
km/h). The system should accelerate toward the same direction
during the next 36 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. The system
should become an extratropical cyclone in about a day.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
374
WTNT34 KNHC 010250
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016
1000 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
...HERMINE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTION OF NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 87.0W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM WSW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Hurricane Warning has been issued from the Suwannee River westward
to Mexico Beach Florida. The Tropical Storm Watch has been extended
from Altamaha Sound Georgia northward to the South Santee River
South Carolina.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Suwannee River to Mexico Beach
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Anclote River to Suwannee River
* West of Mexico Beach to Destin
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anclote River to Suwannee River
* West of Mexico Beach to Destin
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Marineland Florida to South Santee River
Interests along the United States east coast elsewhere in the
Carolinas should monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hermine was
located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 87.0 West. Hermine is
moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this
motion with an increase in forward speed is expected to continue
through Thursday. On the forecast track, the center will be near
the coast in the warning area Thursday night.
Recent reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to
near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is
forecast during the next 24 to 36 hours, and Hermine is expected to
be a hurricane by the time landfall occurs.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.
The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area beginning Thursday night. Winds are
expected to first reach tropical storm strength by Thursday
afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical
storm watch area by Friday.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger
of life-threatening inundation within the next 36 hours along the
Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. Persons located within these
areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property
from rising water. Promptly follow any instructions, including
evacuation orders, from local officials.
The water could reach the following heights above ground if the
peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Destin to Indian Pass...1 to 3 feet
Indian Pass to Chassahowitzka...4 to 7 feet
Chassahowitzka to Aripeka...2 to 4 feet
Aripeka to Bonita Beach...including Tampa Bay...1 to 3 feet
Florida-Georgia line to Cape Fear...1 to 3 feet
The Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning
Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion
under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by
the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in
2017. This prototype graphic is available at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge
RAINFALL: Hermine is expected to produce storm total rainfall
amounts of 5 to 10 inches over portions of northwest Florida through
Friday, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible.
Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across portions of
the southeastern United States from southeast Georgia, central to
eastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina, with local
amounts of 10 inches possible through Saturday. These rains
may cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding.
TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible overnight near the central
Florida coast. The tornado risk will increase through Thursday and
spread into north Florida and southeast Georgia.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
453
WTNT32 KNHC 010253
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072016
1100 PM AST WED AUG 31 2016
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL AZORES ON FRIDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.0N 45.4W
ABOUT 935 MI...1500 KM W OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM W OF LAJES AIR BASE IN THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Flores and Corvo in the western Azores
* Faial, Pico, Graciosa, Sao Jorge, and Terceira in the central
Azores
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gaston was
located near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 45.4 West. Gaston is
moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). A turn toward
the east-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of
Gaston will move near the western and central Azores on Friday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Gaston
is expected to lose hurricane intensity by early Friday before it
reaches the western Azores.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the western and
central Azores on Friday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Berg
