Tropical Storm Ian

Public Advisory 14



711
WTNT32 KNHC 152037
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
500 PM AST THU SEP 15 2016

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN, BUT NOT FOR A FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 31.4W
ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 2000 MI...3220 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve
was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 31.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a
motion toward the west or west-southwest is expected during the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours,
with some strengthening expected by late in the weekend.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake



843
WTNT35 KNHC 152040
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IAN ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102016
500 PM AST THU SEP 15 2016

...IAN ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.6N 47.7W
ABOUT 1080 MI...1735 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1115 MI...1795 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ian was
located near latitude 39.6 North, longitude 47.7 West. Ian is moving
toward the northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue with an increase in forward speed during the
next 24 to 36 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 to 36 hours, and Ian is
expected to become a storm-force extratropical low on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven



521
WTNT31 KNHC 152049
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
500 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2016

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT JULIA IS AGAIN A TROPICAL
STORM...
...EXPECTED TO MEANDER OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 77.1W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SSE OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julia was
located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 77.1 West. Julia is
moving toward the east near 8 mph (13 km/h). A decrease in forward
speed is expected tonight, followed by a slow and erratic motion
offshore of the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast tonight.
After that, Julia is forecast to weaken as it encounters
unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
to the northeast of the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter is
1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Julia is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts
of less than an inch across coastal sections of eastern North
Carolina through Friday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven