Tropical Storm Karl

Public Advisory 19



968
WTNT32 KNHC 190237
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 18 2016

...KARL NOT STRENGTHENING YET...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 46.3W
ABOUT 1025 MI...1645 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karl was
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 46.3 West. Karl is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn to the
west-northwest is expected by late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Karl is forecast to begin strengthening on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



294
WTNT31 KNHC 190239
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
1100 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...JULIA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 78.4W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Julia
was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 78.4 West. The low
is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward
the north is forecast to occur overnight, and that motion is
expected to continue into Tuesday. The system is expected to be
near the coast of southeastern North Carolina Monday afternoon or
evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The interaction of the remnants of Julia with a weak cold
front pushing slowly eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
states is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4
inches across eastern portions of the Mid-Atlantic region northward
into eastern New York and southern New England through Tuesday.
Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches will be possible, especially
over portions of eastern North Carolina northward into parts of
eastern Virginia, eastern Maryland, Delaware, and southern New
Jersey. These amounts could result in localized flooding or flash
flooding.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Julia. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Brown