Tropical Storm Karl

Public Advisory 31



675
WTNT33 KNHC 220237
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132016
1100 PM AST WED SEP 21 2016

...LISA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 32.8W
ABOUT 620 MI...995 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lisa was
located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 32.8 West. Lisa is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A
northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in intensity is expected tonight or early Thursday,
but slow weakening is expected to begin by Thursday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown



193
WTNT32 KNHC 220238
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122016
1100 PM AST WED SEP 21 2016

...NOAA JET DATA INDICATES THAT KARL IS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 59.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Karl.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Karl
was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 59.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and
this motion is expected to continue through Thursday. A turn
toward the north is expected Thursday night or Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Data from the NOAA G-IV jet indicates that the circulation of Karl
is currently poorly organized. However, conditions appear conducive
for slow strengthening during the next couple of days, and Karl
could regain tropical storm intensity on Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven