Hurricane Nicole

Public Advisory 23



682
WTNT35 KNHC 092040
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
500 PM AST SUN OCT 09 2016

...NICOLE SLOWLY STRENGTHENING...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON
MONDAY...
...EXPECTED TO BEGIN A SLOW NORTHWARD MOVEMENT SOON...



SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 65.3W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was
located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 65.3 West. Nicole is
nearly stationary. A slow northward motion should commence soon,
followed by a turn toward the north-northwest by Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days, and Nicole is expected to become a hurricane
on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells associated with Nicole and Post-Tropical Cyclone
Matthew should increase on Bermuda during the next couple of days.
These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip
currents. Please refer to products being issued by the Bermuda
Weather Service for additional information.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



195
WTNT34 KNHC 092040
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
500 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2016

...WINDS DIMINISHING ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BUT WATER
LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.4N 72.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Matthew was located near latitude 35.4 North, longitude 72.0 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near
15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast tonight, and the low is expected
to be absorbed within a frontal boundary on Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km),
primarily to the southwest and west of the center, and
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from a NASA
Global Hawk aircraft is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force will continue over
portions of the Outer Banks tonight.

STORM SURGE: Dangerously high water levels over portions of the
Outer Banks will gradually subside overnight and early Monday.
Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office for additional information.

RAINFALL: Life-threatening flooding will continue over portions
of eastern North Carolina that have received record rains from
Matthew. Consult products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office for additional information and warnings.

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect much of
the southeastern and Mid-Atlantic coasts of the United States
during the next couple of days. These swells will likely cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Matthew. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Brown