Hurricane Katrina

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 240832
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
0900Z WED AUG 24 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND... THE EXUMAS... LONG
ISLAND... RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR... THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
THE ABACOS... ANDROS ISLAND... THE BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA... GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO VERO BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER
TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 76.4W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 76.4W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 76.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.7N 77.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.5N 78.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.9N 78.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.1N 80.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 27.0N 84.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 28.0N 86.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 76.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

FORECASTER BEVEN


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