Hurricane Katrina

Forecast Advisory 27

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 291422
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132005
1500Z MON AUG 29 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 50.5W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 50.5W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 50.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N 52.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 50.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

FORECASTER AVILA


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000
WTNT22 KNHC 291438
TCMAT2
HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
1500Z MON AUG 29 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z..ALL HURRICANE WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST OF
MORGAN CITY TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 89.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MB
EYE DIAMETER 30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT.......110NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT.......140NE 140SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 250SE 250SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 89.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 89.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 32.3N 89.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT...100NE 125SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 35.4N 88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 39.0N 86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 42.0N 82.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.5N 72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 51.5N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N 89.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


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